KIWOOM EQUITY MORNING RESEARCH NOVEMBER 22, 2021
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22 Nov 2021

Market Prediction

Last Friday's trading, JCI closed up 1.26% to 6,720.26 (alltime high). The strengthening was influenced by the release data of Indonesia's current account surplus increased to USD 4.47 billion in the third quarter of 2021. Foreign market players recorded a net sell-off again of IDR 142.22 billion (all markets).

Wall Street's main indexes closed mostly lower as investors began to worry about the resurgence of COVID and the potential for a return to lockdown.

Today, JCI has a chance to strengthen but is overshadowed by profit taking.

JCI closed higher with a bullish candle. The stochastic golden cross indicator, MACD histogram is moving in a positive direction (sloping line) and volume is increasing. If JCI moves bullish again, there is a chance to further strengthen to the resistance at the range of 6,743 – 6,784. If JCI moves bearish, it could continue down to support at the range of 6,675 – 6,687.


Commodities Review

  • Oil prices slumped about 3 percent to below $80 per barrel in late trading Friday, due to soaring Covid-19 cases in Europe. The surge in Covid-19 cases threatens to slow the economic recovery, while investors are also weighing the potential release of oil reserves by major economies to cool prices.


Macro Economic News

  • Retail sales in the UK were up 0.8% mom in October of 2021, the first gain in six months and above forecasts of 0.5%, amid early Christmas shopping.
  • The United Kingdom’s GfK Consumer Confidence index rose 3 points to -14 in November 2021 from an 8-month low reading of -17 in the previous month, and compared with market expectations of a slight fall to -18.
  • Indonesia's current account surplus increased to USD 4.47 billion in the third quarter of 2021, equivalent to 1.5 percent of GDP, from USD 1 billion in the corresponding quarter of the previous year, as the goods surplus widened sharply to USD 15.03 billion from USD 9.79 billion a year ago, amid a further recovery in global demand and surging commodity prices, while the secondary income surplus inched up to USD 1.42 billion from USD 1.37 billion a year earlier.


Corporate news

  • PT Intiland Development Tbk (DILD) recorded a loss for the year attributable to owners of the parent company of IDR 77.23 billion at the end of Q3/2021 from a profit of IDR 39.45 billion at the end of Q3/2020.
  • PT Darya-Varia Laboratoria TBK (DVLA) during the first nine months of 2021 achieved a profit for the period of IDR 268.06 billion, an increase of 82.31 percent compared to the same period in 2020, which was recorded at IDR 147.29 billion.
  • PT MNC Studios International Tbk (MSIN) in the first nine months of 2021 posted a net profit growth of 70% YoY, from IDR 124.3 billion in 9M-2020 to IDR 211.2 billion in 9M-2021,
  • PT Media Nusantara Citra Tbk (MNCN) posted a net profit growth of 25% YoY to IDR 1.81 trillion in 9M2021 from IDR1.44 trillion in the same period in the previous year. The Company's net profit margin also showed positive results, amounting to 26% from 24% in the same period last year.





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